Hispanics Likely Will Be Largest Racial Group in 2020
Hispanics will be the largest racial or ethnic minority group in the electorate for the 2020 election, according to a new analysis from the Pew Research Center. Hispanic voters are projected to account for just over 13% of eligible voters -- surpassing the percentage of eligible Black voters for the first time. In terms of sheer numbers, Pew projects that 32 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote in 2020, compared with 30 million African Americans -- whose share of the electorate is expected to hold at 12%. The population of Asian Americans eligible to vote will reach an estimated 11 million in 2020 or 5% of the electorate -- more than double the 5 million who were eligible to vote in 2000. All together, Pew projects that a third of eligible voters will be nonwhite in 2020, up from about a quarter in 2000. However, voter turnout is a different story. While Hispanics are expected to outnumber Black eligible voters next year, in recent presidential elections, Black voters were substantially more likely than Hispanics to vote. Hispanic eligible voters who did not vote has exceeded the number of those who did vote in every presidential election since 1996. More here.