NALEO Says 7.8 million Latinos Expected to Vote in 2018 Midterms
A new National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund analysis projects that more than 7.8 million Latinxs are expected to cast ballots in the 2018 midterms -- a marked 15% increase in turnout and 6.9% increase in the Latinx share of the vote versus 2014. NALEO has made a tradition of releasing expected Latinx voting totals that have generally been close to the final numbers. The new NALEO report predicts that the largest increase versus 2014 will occur in Arizona, where they expect 486,000 Latinx voters (+33.4%); California, where they expect 2,133,000 Latinx voters (+25.0%); Illinois 252,000 15.8%); and Florida, where they expect 1,008,000 Latinx voters (+12.6%). Notably, in Texas, where Republican Senator Ted Cruz is facing a challenge from Democratic Congressman Beto O’Rourke -- who has invested greatly in getting out the Latinx vote -- NALEO expects a modest 1.4% increase in the number of Latinx voters. Still, "Latinos are ready to make their voices heard," said Arturo Vargas, Executive Director of NALEO. Their survey found that 5% of registered Latinx voters say they have already voted. And enthusiasm is high, with 71% reporting that they are certain they will vote and another 12% stating they will probably vote. Plus, a majority (69%) of those surveyed said they have encouraged a friend or family member to either register to vote or vote this year, up from 56% in 2016. We’ll learn more in 12 days. See the full report here.